Sunday, July 17, 2016

The New Libyan Constitution and the political environment

The origin of the current Libyan quagmire (short version)

In 1969 Libya went through major change that initially heralded a new and more egalitarian future.  However, the ever opportunistic Gadhafi, his tribe, and their allies wasted little time to fully consolidate their power and monopolize Libya as their fiefdom.  Libyans generally were trained to be a passive and reactive people by the Ottomans, Italians, the Senussi monarchy, and then the reign of Gadhafi extended the lack of reasonable political participation by the average Libyan.  The young and newly installed Gadhafi put on a show of empowering various sectors of his society and all the while trying to pit them against each other, rich versus poor, home owner versus renter, young against old, and even parents and their children were not immune  to his paranoid police state and its bizarre wedge politics.  Gadhafi had claimed that hereditary rule was incompatible with true political theory and doctrine but he was more than willing to have his sons take over the family business when he was good and ready. 

It took 42 years before events transpired whereby Gadhafi finally lost his franchise over the Libyan nation and his family was forced to flee.  Many Libyans rejoiced and exiles returned ostensibly to help first the revolution and then the transition to a new democratic Libya.  Senussi monarchy nostalgia was again in the open and the new General National Congress(GNC) government squandered billions in cash grants, theft, waste, corruption, and criminal negligence on a scale that is yet to be properly documented.  In spite of the chaos and GNC missteps, most Libyans believed that Libya was on the way to political pluralism and progress. 

The post 2011 environment

The number of political parties bloomed and Libyan were free to discuss politics and vote in mostly free and fair elections for the first time in decades.  Regional politics, especially the Muslim Brotherhood variety which originated in neighboring Egypt became a large part of the discussion as well as a so called secularist party grouping led by prominent former Gadhafi advisor and rebel NTC leader during the 2011 revolution, Mahmoud Gibril.  The dominant narrative which was fostered was that the political arm of the Muslim Brotherhood, the Justice and Construction(AB) party, was actually a front for Egyptian based interests.  The scapegoating reached such an extent that many blamed the AB for almost anything that went wrong in Libya and their opponents used their political naiveté and the lack of economic and social progress in Libya to paint them in a fairly bad light.  Make no mistake, the AB and their allies share some of the blame for the political failures that have led us to the current crisis but they are not the main source of concern that many critics and analysts make them out to be. 

The average Libyan was quick to point out the lack of reliable electrical service, security, modern healthcare, education, and infrastructure in Libya.  In a world where 5G cell phone service is around the corner, Libyans are stuck in a 2G time warp and they need to have two government owned cell phone carriers to provide what passes for complete cell phone reception.  The political landscape in Libya in 2012-2016 rapidly deteriorated into an almost farcical and fractious group of Congressmen and women who achieved little but spending money on things that didn’t provide long term benefit for their constituents.  The political anarchy helped create a country where multi-million dollar bank heists were only rivaled by the billions of dollars that disappeared into thin air or were used to purchase arms from the UAE and other sources that were then used in various internecine shooting matches between various competing regional or even private militias.  A small hamlet named Zintan which performed admirably in the 2011 revolution apparently was rewarded with control of the capital’s airport which soon became a money making enterprise not for the State, but for Zintani interests and their militias.  The Libyan second city of Benghazi descended into chaos and the incompetent GNC made the disastrous decision to locate their successor, the House of Representatives(HOR).  To this day, Libyan politicians are paid a princely salary and often are out of the country or don’t show up for work and this includes the members of the defunct GNC and the HOR whose initial term has already expired.

Political theater

Average Libyans put their fail in the new Libyan leadership cadre such as Mgarief, Zidan, and Thinni.  All of these men failed to deliver meaningful and construction improvements in Libya.  If asked, they can say that they were hobbled by the culture of militia and the collapse in oil production.  The Libyan ability to finger point is only rivaled by the near constant strikes and work disruptions staged by unions or tribes or even small groups of disgruntled gunmen.  The trust given to the leadership and their administrations was misplaced and billions, precious time, and even more importantly lives were lost due to the utter incompetence of the nascent Libyan government. 

The US provides a stark contrast to Libya, Americans have the luxury of professional politicians who often work their way up from local to state to national government offices.  Most Americans therefore feel little need to get too involved in politics beyond occasionally voting or perhaps calling their congressman or sending them an email.  In Libya however, carpet baggers, charlatans, and uneducated holdovers from the previous regime comprise the politicians who prey on the hopes and dreams of the novice voters of Libya.  Having amateurs running a modern state is not a good foundation for a progressive and rational government.  Especially for a country like Libya which has been fought over for thousands of years and has vast wealth and potential.

The Tarhouni Constitution


Mr. Ali Tarhouni has been interested in helping create the post-revolution Libyan Constitution since at least 2011.  The oft delayed Constituion has cost millions and has yet to be delivered for the approval or even widespread discussion of its merits.  The release of a “final” draft only creates further cause for concern and begs the question; “Can the Libyans get a refund?”